Standards › Production

Arps decline

Production forecasting and decline (Arps)

Ask Deckhand to forecast a well's decline and estimate ultimate recovery using the Arps decline-curve models.

What you can ask it to do

  • Fit a well's history to an Arps model — exponential, hyperbolic or harmonic.
  • Forecast future rate and estimate ultimate recovery (EUR).
  • Report the decline parameters and the forecast assumptions.

Related standards

Arps decline EUR Exponential / hyperbolic / harmonic Decline curve Production forecast

Part of Wells & Subsurface · see the platform engine

Questions

What is Arps decline-curve analysis?

The standard empirical method for forecasting oil and gas production decline — exponential, hyperbolic or harmonic — and estimating ultimate recovery from the rate history.

What does Deckhand return?

The fitted decline parameters, a forward rate forecast, and the estimated ultimate recovery with the assumptions stated.

Run Arps decline on your own inputs

Open Deck is free — bring your numbers and check the result against your own methods.

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